June 1st – Disconnect

What I’m Reading

Disconnect: US Economic data aren’t adding up. Incomes indicate a very strong economy while expenditures show a somewhat weakening one.  Something in the data is incorrect.  The Overshoot

Bullwhip: Lumber prices have shed over 50% since March and lumber yards are filling up as mills slow their production.  As usual, over ordering was an issue as future demand was overestimated and now we have a hangover.  Wall Street Journal

Open for Business: The world’s largest port complex in Shanghai is finally returning to normal.  While this is undoubtedly a good thing, it also means that the supply chains will get worse before they get better as manufacturers try to fill backlogs.  The Conversation

Limited Options: With rising home prices and mortgage rates stretching affordability, SFR operators are seeing an influx of renters by necessity rather than choice.  Globe Street

Staying Power: US home prices rose a whopping 20% YoY in March per the latest S7P Case-Shiller report.  This trend should begin to slow down as higher mortgage rates take a big bite out of affordability.  CNBC

Chart of the Day

Demand destruction is more of a threat to the housing market than overbuilding.

Image

Source: The Daily Shot

WTF

I Thought This Was America: A drunk couple was arrested for having sex on a dock in front of onlookers because Florida.  12 News

When You’ve Gotta Go: A 69 year old man was arrested after he stripped down in a surf shop and pooped on its floor because Florida.  Tampa Free Press

Basis Points – A candid look at the economy, real estate, and other things sometimes related. 

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