What I'm Reading Drying Out: The western mega-drought is forcing cities with water shortages to issue building moratoriums. Ironically, many of the areas hardest hit by the the drought are also experiencing the largest housing and population booms. The forced shutdown of development will force even more people into the...
July 21st – Legal Remedy
What I'm Reading Roll the Dice: Escalating material prices have made it challenging for contractors and manufacturers to bid on jobs, with owners sometime finding themselves paying out of pocket to cover overruns. Wall Street Journal Opt Out: Some workers are beginning to look for legal remedies that allow them...
July 15th – In N Out
What I'm Reading In N Out: Starwood is throwing in the towel on the mall business, selling 22 of the 30 malls that it owned before COVID and taking a loss in order to get out from underneath approximately $2 billion in CMBS debt. Essentially, Starwood decided that they will...
June 25th – Fill Er Up
What I'm Reading Tailwind: American household balance sheets are flush, with assets growth far outpacing liabilities over the past year. A lot of this is due to home price inflation and consumers tapping HELOCs for consumption and investment could provide fuel for economic growth. Bloomberg Waiting List: Winnebago is the...
June 23rd – Out of Harm’s Way
What I'm Reading Sticker Shock: Non-transitory inflation could provide some benefit to owners of existing buildings that would help offset more expensive debt. Higher input prices for construction could, in theory, limit supply growth in every real estate sector, even as demand grows, which would help support the recovery in...
June 21st – Pop Up
What I'm Reading On Demand: Pop-up distribution centers are becoming a thing as the pandemic forced retailers and e-commerce platforms to quickly and cost-effectively respond to localized demand surges in their supply chains. Chain Store Age Cream Rises to the Top: For years, international investors favored office buildings when it...
June 15th – Round Trip
What I'm Reading Out of Balance: A recent study by LendingTree found that median housing costs were lower for renters than for homeowners with a mortgage in all 50 of the largest US metro areas. Lending Tree Backed Up: The primary driver of the inflationary spike that we are currently...
June 9th – Leap of Faith Part 1
One Big Thing Construction prices are soaring and eating into the yields of multifamily developers. In an environment like this, its nearly impossible to forecast costs over the typical 2-3 year build cycle for most large multifamily buildings. As a result, developers have to gamble that rent increases will keep...
June 7th – Not As It Seems
One Big Thing As you can see from the Chart of the Day Below, we are finally back to 1970 levels when it comes to housing production in the United States (h/t Taylor Grant). Hooray, I guess. While things are certainly better than they were a few years ago, this...
June 4th – Hitting the Water
What I'm Reading Hitting the Water: The National Marine Manufacturers Association says powerboat sales hit a 13-year high in 2020, with 310,000 new vessels sold, up 12 percent from the previous year. Difficult as it is to believe, 2021 is looking even better. As of February, shipments of new powerboats...