What I'm Reading Overflow: The red hot housing market coupled with stubbornly high unemployment has ignited a boom in new realtors. However, housing supply - which was already low before 2020 - has been dropping like a rock and there are now more realtors than homes for sale in the...
March 19th – Tick Tock
What I'm Reading Tick Tock: Multifamily forbearance for agency borrowers has been extended through June 30, 2021 after having been set to expire on May 31st. Once the forbearance period ends, owners generally have to start repaying the deferred amount immediately and within 12 months, and while some owners have...
March 16th – My Way or the Highway
What I'm Reading My Way or the Highway: The Kushner Companies declined to oppose its lenders’ bid to appoint a receiver to take control of a deeply distressed Times Square entertainment retail property that it purchased for $295.3MM back in 2015. The decline in value here is eye popping to...
March 10th – Postponement
What I'm Reading Postponed: The Federal Housing Finance Agency has announced that Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae will extend multifamily forbearance for COVID-19. Qualifying multifamily property owners will be eligible for forbearance through June 30, 2021. The program was scheduled to expire on May 31, 2021. This move includes eviction...
March 5th – Wild West
What I'm Reading Wild West: The non-fungible token (NFT) trend is coming to commercial real estate as platforms look to tokenize assets via blockchain technology in order to provide more flexibility to investors. This segment of the market is fascinating to me but there a ton of potential major pitfalls. ...
March 4th – Balancing Act
What I'm Reading Balancing Act: With home prices up 14.8% YOY in January and mortgage rates rising of late as well, fewer households are able to qualify for a mortgage. The beneficiary of this will likely be rental housing, both apartments and SFR. Marcus and Millichap Leverage: The Massachusetts Superior...
March 2nd – Backroom Deal
What I'm Reading Locked and Loaded: Private Equity firms’ global real estate funds are now sitting on more than $300 billion of unspent cash, according to Preqin data. Their attention is now turned to what happens when government support and bank forbearance expires. Most of this capital is looking for...
March 1st – Fuel on the Fire
What I'm Reading Fuel on the Fire: With long rates rising, investors in the mortgage bond market had to sell treasury positions in order to hedge their holdings, accelerating last week's bond market selloff. Christopher Maloney of Bloomberg explains what is happening perfectly: The forced sellers are investors in the...
February 16th – Flight to Paradise
What I'm Reading Flight to Paradise: With the northern hemisphere in the middle of winter and many regions still under pandemic lockdowns, wealthy buyers are more motivated than ever to purchase homes on warm-weather islands, sometimes sight unseen. I'm seeing this play out in real time on the big island...
February 4th – Signs of Life
One Big Thing Today I'm going to focus a major investment sale broker pet peeve: yield fluffing (and yes, I made up that term). For the uninitiated, a fluffer is someone who gets a male porn actor ready to "perform" before the cameras start rolling. I'm not going to explain...