What I'm Reading Sleight of Hand: WeWork is once again attempting to go public, this time via SPAC merger. However, the co-working company's aggressive projections and unconventional financial metrics are once again raising investor concerns about its viability. Globe Street More of the Same: When it comes to people moving during...
February 8th – Dead End?
What I'm Reading Dead End? Distressed debt hedge funds raised billions to take advantage of COVID opportunities. However, the capital markets have largely recovered and junk yields have plunged, leaving them with few opportunities to deploy their dry powder. This is totally reminiscent of the Great Recession when capital raised...
January 28th – Storm Clouds
What I'm Reading Storm Clouds: The apartment sector has been a bright spot during COVID-19 but that is starting to change. Enhanced eviction protection, lower rent collections and unprecedented declines in asking rent in some urban markets are taking their toll on apartment owners. During the pandemic, the share of...
January 6th – No Going Back
What I’m Reading No Going Back: The pandemic has has accelerated the adoption of data access as an essential CRE technology. At this point, it is no longer just a pandemic solution and is here to stay. Globe Street Priced Out: Despite record low mortgage rates, the spike in housing prices last year...
December 18th – The Great Mirage
One Big Thing Jonathan Litt of hedge fund Land and Buildings is predicting that next year will see a bounce back in the performance of pandemic-impacted real estate but that it will ultimately prove to be a mirage as secular headwinds turn against these market segments (emphasis mine): The Vaccine...
November 20th – Swept Under the Rug
What I’m Reading Swept Under the Rug: October marked the fourth straight month that the overall lodging delinquency rate has fallen, according to Trepp. Unfortunately, this isn’t due to improved property performance but rather granted forbearance that is allowing loans to “current” status. Globe Street See Also: A new survey of American Hotel &...
November 11th – Changing of the Guard
What I’m Reading Changing of the Guard: Office, hospitality and retail, three of real estate’s most institutionalized sectors, are facing long-term structural headwinds. At the same time, formerly-niche sectors like cold storage, self-storage, medical office and data centers are getting more institutional attention thanks to their resiliency in the face of...
November 10th – Shot in the Arm
One Big Thing Like me, most of you probably woke up yesterday morning to the Pfizer COVID-19 vaccine news from the AP: Pfizer Inc. said Monday that its COVID-19 vaccine may be a remarkable 90% effective, based on early and incomplete test results that nevertheless brought a big burst of optimism...
October 30th – On the Move
What I’m Reading On the Move: For decades, the share of Americans moving to new cities has been falling. The pandemic-induced rise of telework is turning that trend around. This is perhaps a silver lining in the chaos that is 2020. Axios Before the pandemic, the top 15 most expensive cities in the...
October 28th – The Great Divide
What I’m Reading The Great Divide: A new report by Moody’s shows that the bid-ask spread between buyers and sellers of commercial real estate has continued to widen, with sellers seeking pandemic-induced discounts and buyers holding the line on pricing. This can continue for some time so long as liquidity remains...