What I’m Reading Tangled Web: As malls continue to struggle, their financing structures – which have only grown more complex over time – are making restructuring particularly challenging. This is perhaps the biggest downside of using CMBS, especially when layered with other forms of financing. When you borrow from a bank...
November 13th – Pile Up
What I’m Reading Pile Up: Corporate tenants put a record 42 million square feet of space on the office market in the second and third quarters, according to data firm CoStar Group Inc. That increased the total sublease space in the U.S. to roughly 157 million square feet, or 1.7% of...
November 12th – Canary in the Coal Mine
What I’m Reading Canary in the Coalmine: Office REITs have underperformed dramatically this year but their beat-down shares may be a good under-the-radar way to play the vaccine trade. However, upside may be capped by behavioral headwinds. P.S. Shouldn’t need to say it but this is IN NO WAY investment advice. MSN...
November 11th – Changing of the Guard
What I’m Reading Changing of the Guard: Office, hospitality and retail, three of real estate’s most institutionalized sectors, are facing long-term structural headwinds. At the same time, formerly-niche sectors like cold storage, self-storage, medical office and data centers are getting more institutional attention thanks to their resiliency in the face of...
November 10th – Shot in the Arm
One Big Thing Like me, most of you probably woke up yesterday morning to the Pfizer COVID-19 vaccine news from the AP: Pfizer Inc. said Monday that its COVID-19 vaccine may be a remarkable 90% effective, based on early and incomplete test results that nevertheless brought a big burst of optimism...
October 6th – Ridin’ High
What I’m Reading Ridin’ High: While the general election may still not be officially settled, one clear winner has emerged: recreational marijuana. Ballot measures passed in New Jersey, Arizona, South Dakota and Montana to legalize the adult use and sale of recreational cannabis, while Mississippi and South Dakota (in a separate...
November 4th – Time Warp
One Big Thing: I wrote a year in review (or at least the first 10 months) piece that the Mann Report is running as a cover feature. Here’s an excerpt. 2020 was the year when time both accelerated and stood still. From a purely human perspective, crises and trauma are known...
November 3rd – Bounce Back
What I’m Reading Bounce Back: Apartment demand rebounded strongly in the third quarter outside of high-priced gateway markets. The rebound helped to stabilize the multifamily market and prevented asking rents from declining as much as would have been expected considering the historic decline in economic performance in the second quarter. Yardi...
November 2nd – Lifeline
What I’m Reading One Big Thing: A couple of weeks ago, I wrote about how ESG trends are likely to provide a growing headwind for the office market in the coming years. Today, I’m going to focus on a different segment of the real estate market that I’ve followed closely for years: housing....
October 29th – Face Off
What I’m Reading Faceoff: Public employee unions (for) and commercial real estate companies (against) are spending a massive amount of money in the battle over prop 15, which would remove Prop 13 protections for most commercial real estate in California. The Sacramento Bee Lifeline: Oil demand is still struggling to recover during the...