One Big Thing There has been a lot of COVID news to digest in recent days so I thought it would be helpful to put together a quick summary of what is going on. On the infection side, things are undeniably bad and getting worse. We have now seen over 11...
November 16th – Such a Tangled Web
What I’m Reading Tangled Web: As malls continue to struggle, their financing structures – which have only grown more complex over time – are making restructuring particularly challenging. This is perhaps the biggest downside of using CMBS, especially when layered with other forms of financing. When you borrow from a bank...
November 10th – Shot in the Arm
One Big Thing Like me, most of you probably woke up yesterday morning to the Pfizer COVID-19 vaccine news from the AP: Pfizer Inc. said Monday that its COVID-19 vaccine may be a remarkable 90% effective, based on early and incomplete test results that nevertheless brought a big burst of optimism...
October 6th – Ridin’ High
What I’m Reading Ridin’ High: While the general election may still not be officially settled, one clear winner has emerged: recreational marijuana. Ballot measures passed in New Jersey, Arizona, South Dakota and Montana to legalize the adult use and sale of recreational cannabis, while Mississippi and South Dakota (in a separate...
October 14th – No Shock Here
What I’m Reading No Shock Here: Transactional volume has fallen sharply, but refinancing activity is keeping the capital markets moving through the pandemic. This is a best-case scenario for a sharp downturn since it means that there is still ample liquidity for performing assets that require recapitalization due to loan maturity. ...
October 12th – Hanging On
What I’m Reading Hanging in There: After showing signs of deterioration when enhanced UI ended, the NMHC Rent Payment Tracker is – remarkably – at exactly the same level that it was at in 2019 for the first week of October. NMHC The Great Divide: Pricing expectations between sellers and buyers have continued...
October 7th – On the March
What I’m Reading On the March: Construction costs have continued to increase, despite a plunge in GDP, throwing up another hurdle in an already challenging development environment. Bisnow Spread Out: Research from Trepp and Compstak found that the spread between starting rents and effective rents has increased 27% in major metro office markets,...
September 14th – Opening Up
What I’m Reading Opening Up: The Securities and Exchange Commission modified its definition of “accredited investor: in August, changing who is allowed by law to invest in private securities offerings. The new definition is less restrictive, which will likely open up an opportunity for more investors to participate in private real...
September 2nd – The Waiting Game
What I'm Reading Waiting Game: Although many tenants are not paying rent and many landlords are not paying their mortgages, the floodgates for distressed opportunities have not yet opened, largely because of eviction and foreclosure moratoriums. Deal flow will start once these moratoriums lift and the first shoe to drop...