What I’m Reading On the Move: For decades, the share of Americans moving to new cities has been falling. The pandemic-induced rise of telework is turning that trend around. This is perhaps a silver lining in the chaos that is 2020. Axios Before the pandemic, the top 15 most expensive cities in the...
October 28th – The Great Divide
What I’m Reading The Great Divide: A new report by Moody’s shows that the bid-ask spread between buyers and sellers of commercial real estate has continued to widen, with sellers seeking pandemic-induced discounts and buyers holding the line on pricing. This can continue for some time so long as liquidity remains...
October 20th – Out of Date
What I’m Reading Out of Date: According to JLL, 78% of all cold storage warehouses are at least 20 years old and the average age of a US cold storage facility is 42 years old. This is a problem in an industry where the technology has changed so dramatically in recent...
October 19th – Color Me Skeptical
One Big Thing A Barclay’s analyst went on CNBC last week and made the claim that converting an underperforming mall to a distribution center or residential complex could reduce the value of the property anywhere from 60% to 90%. While I believe this would be the case if a top...
October 15th – Permanent Vacation
What I’m Reading Permanent Vacation: Vacation home demand is soaring during the pandemic as people with means look for places to escape to now that they can’t travel abroad. Wall Street Journal See Also: Park City, Utah’s housing market is white hot as wealthy buyers pile in, pushing median home prices above $2MM. The Salt...
October 9th – Long Shadows
What I’m Reading Long Shadows: Office distress has yet to really materialize. However, the risk of loan maturitites and major tenant lease expirations are casting a shadow over the sector. Roughly $27.7B of the $145B CMBS office loans Trepp tracks are set to mature by 2022. What’s more, nearly 35% of...
October 5th – The Empire Strikes Back
What I’m Reading The Empire Strikes Back: Despite a persistent narrative about California being a net COVID loser, the metros with the largest apartment rent increases in the 3rd Quarter of 2020 were Riverside and San Bernardino Counties, according to RealPage, Inc’s quarterly report on effective asking rents. California’s denser and...
October 1st – Cashing Out
What I’m Reading Cashing Out: A new report by Trepp indicates an opportunity for homeowners to use sale-leaseback structures to pull equity out of their homes without having to move. This would allow equity-rich but cash-poor home owners who have been hit by the pandemic-induced recession a way to avoid foreclosure...
September 30th – Misleading
I’m back! Spent the last week RV camping on California’s Central Coast. It was a lot of fun but good to be back in the saddle. What I’m Reading Misleading Metrics: The article from my interview with Globe Street’s Erika Morphy about sponsor overreliance on cash on cash returns as a...
September 18th – Open to Interpretation
What I’m Reading Open to Interpretation: From state to state, and even judge to judge, a simple-sounding order by the C.D.C. to halt evictions through the end of the year due to the pandemic is being enforced in a far-from-uniform manner. The New York Times Full Picture: NMHC’s rent payment tracker for September...